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Prediction market on manifold. Begins on January 20, 2025 after President Trump is sworn in. The cabinet official must either be fired or resign during Trumps term as President. A death will not count. I will fill in the name next to the cabinet position once a person officially assumes the office. Update 2025-03-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Impeachment Clarification: Impeachment Outcome: If the office holder is found guilty during an impeachment trial and is removed from office, it will be considered as being fired. Update 2025-04-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Amicable Resignation Clarification: Amicable departures, including stepping down to pursue another role, will be treated as valid resignations. The intent is that nominees serve for the full presidential term, meaning mid-term voluntary departures count as resignations.
24h Volume: $9.407. Liquidity: $2,600. Resolves: 1/17/2028.