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Prediction market on manifold. Resolves YES if Thomas Massie wins any election in 2026. Resolves NO if he does not win any election in 2026 (including if he doesn't run for office.) Update 2025-10-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A primary election does not count as winning an election for the purposes of this market.
24h Volume: $2,314.995. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.