Loading
Prediction market on manifold. Resolves to the next individual to at any point be both be simultaniously the president of the United States and affiliated with the Democratic party by the year 2050. Unnessisarly specific market rules: This market exludes any individuals who have already met this requirement. E.g. this market will not resolve on January 20th 2024 if Biden were to win re-election (and in the very unlikely event that Jimmy Carter were to somehow be nominated, re-elected, and survive long enough to be inagurated on January 20th this market would also not resolve). However it's technically possible for this market to resolve to other past presidents like Trump or George H. W. Bush if for some strange reason either of the two were to change their party affilation as neither have already met the above requirement (as would any individual elected as a Republican who were to change their party affiliation to Democrat midterm). It's also worth noting that this market does not have to resolve to an elected president of the United states (e.g. this market would resolve to Kamala Harris if she were to assume presidency before the next election). Finnally, I said "the" Democratic party but infact there are many "Democratic" parties. If any president were to for some reason be affiliated with the Democratic party of Italy, Luxembourg, South Africa, Serbia, or Hong Kong (or the "Democratic party" of any other country, or potentially any party in the US if they were to change their name) at any point during their term they would also resolve this market. There isn't really much of a point to this rule. I just thought resolving this market on the grounds of an extremely unlikely technicality is fun. If nobody meets this requirement by 2050 this market will resolve to "Armageddon" regardless of if it is actually the end of the world.
24h Volume: $1.414. Liquidity: $1,085. Resolves: 1/2/2050.