Will I get a Gold Medal on USAMO 2027?

Prediction market on manifold. I am male and I will be a junior next year, aiming for USAMO gold. I got 29 on JMO26, 771617 top day1; the Top Honors cutoff is 30, with or without tiebrakers. I fakesolved P5 in contest and got docked on P3 from a 7 (I believe). This market is created to encourage myself to study harder, so I reserve the right to bet YES on this market.

24h Volume: $2. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 3/21/2027.