Will Tesla obtain an AV Driverless Testing or Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026
Prediction market on manifold. https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/vehicle-industry-services/autonomous-vehicles/autonomous-vehicle-testing-permit-holders/ [link preview] This question will resolve to YES if TESLA shows up as having had a driverless testing or deployment permit during <TITLE YEAR>, according to the DMV website's list above, using the "as of MONTH DAY, YEAR" date. Previously the DMV website has taken a few days to update, so the close time is a bit after the end of <TITLE YEAR>. This question will resolve to NO if either (1) Tesla does not appear on the list by close time, or (2) if Tesla does appear but the "as of" date is after Dec 31, <TITLE YEAR>.
24h Volume: $200. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/7/2027.