Will a chatbot read sheet music before 2027?
Prediction market on manifold. Given the following image and a prompt, will a browser chatbot be able to identify every note in the soprano, alto, tenor, and bass parts? [image]Needs to be correct: pitch class (if letters are given without sharp/flat, "natural" will be assumed regardless of key signature) duration order of notes Does not need to be specified/correct: key signature, time signature articulations, slurs, barlines, clefs, chords octaves of note pitches temporal positions of notes format/preface/conclusion text It can use any method for specifying pitch and duration as long as it's unambiguous to map pitch to one of 12 semitone options, and map duration to a real number. Burden of proof will be on YES-holders. I'm happy to hop on a call to witness a YES-worthy setup. Non-free tiers allowed. Must be a browser-based, US public, general-purpose chatbot. May use up to 4 prompts on up to 4 sessions. No second chances for a demonstrator within 30 days. I'll accept suggestions (but may veto) prompts and models to try. Otherwise in 2027 I'll just use this prompt on the best free chatgpt, gemini, and claude, filling in each of the 4 part names: For this line of music, please list the notes/durations of the _______ part. I won't bet on this market. Update 2026-01-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Chatbots are allowed to call other tools and libraries that are available to US public general purpose browser chatbots. Update 2026-01-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): No installations on the user's computer allowed, but if the US public general purpose browser chatbot can install tools on its end and use those tools, all within the 4 prompt limit, this is allowed.
24h Volume: $152.946. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.