Will Apollo Research (new AI evals org) shut down before 2028?

Prediction market on manifold. apolloresearch.ai https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ysC6crBKhDBGZfob3/announcing-apollo-research (https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ysC6crBKhDBGZfob3/announcing-apollo-research)

24h Volume: $10. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2027.