Will AI automate all remote jobs that do not require a legal person by Jan 1st 2027?

Prediction market on manifold. Background According to the World Economic Forum (WEF), employers predict that 42% of tasks will be automated by 2027. However, this refers to individual tasks rather than entire jobs. Forrester Research projects that nearly 15 million new jobs will be created in the U.S. by 2027, particularly in areas like engineering, software, design, maintenance, support, and training. Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if by January 1, 2027: All remote jobs that do not legally require a human worker have been fully automated by AI systems These AI systems are commercially available and deployed at scale Human workers are no longer needed for any aspect of these jobs The market will resolve NO if any remote jobs that don't legally require human workers still require human involvement by January 1, 2027. Considerations Many jobs require complex skills like judgment, empathy, creativity, and adaptability that are currently difficult to fully automate While AI may automate specific tasks (e.g., 46% of administrative tasks and 44% of legal tasks), automating entire job functions is significantly more challenging The question specifically addresses jobs that don't require a legal person, which excludes positions like lawyers, doctors, and other licensed professionals Current AI systems are generally designed to augment human capabilities rather than fully replace workers Historical predictions about automation timelines have often been overly optimistic about the pace of change

24h Volume: $49.023. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.