There will be credible evidence that an AI agent is running independently on the web in any of the following years

Prediction market on manifold. Paying its own server costs. Running its own code. This market cannot resolve no for specific years (this is how the manifold functionality works) either it resolves yes to one year or no to all at the close date (I guess that would be other) [image].

24h Volume: $49.376. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2030.