Will Ukraine gain more territory than it loses this week, according to pro-Ukraine mappers?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolution criteria This market will resolve YES if, according to both resolution sources, Ukraine achieves a net territorial gain in the week ending 23 May 2026. This market will resolve NO if, according to both resolution sources, Ukraine does not achieve a net territorial gain in the week ending 23 May 2026. This market will otherwise resolve 50% YES and 50% NO. Resolution sources The resolution sources are: DeepStateUA Poulet volant Clarifications DeepStateUA's estimate will be obtained by comparing its most recent update as of 23:59 EEST on 23 May with its update at 22:42 EEST on 16 May. Ukraine's net territorial change will be inferred from changes to the area controlled by Russia and the area controlled by neither side. I may trade in this market. If I believe the resolution of this market is likely to be contentious, I will either sell my shares or entrust a Manifold mod with resolving the market.

24h Volume: $24. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 5/24/2026.