Are we currently in an AI economic bubble?
Prediction market on manifold. Tech companies contributing to AI progress--on both the hardware and software side--are making a lot of money lately. The question is: Is it over, or just getting started? Resolves subjectively, based on my diligent assessment of the literature on January 1, 2029. Resolves YES if I reasonably decide that we were indeed in an AI bubble at market creation, meaning AI-connected stocks are generally significantly overvalued. If it's very unclear at the time of close, I reserve the right to extend the market until the question is sufficiently settled.
24h Volume: $28.803. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/2/2029.