Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035?
Prediction market on manifold. Resolves YES if any inhabited Israeli settlements or outposts are present in the current territory of the Gaza Strip on 31 December 2035. The legality of these settlements or outposts under Israeli law does not matter for this question to resolve YES. Update 2025-08-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Military outposts are excluded. Only civilian Israeli settlements or outposts count. If a military outpost is later converted into a civilian settlement/outpost, it counts only if it is inhabited and present in Gaza on 2035-12-31. Update 2025-08-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Edge cases (e.g., a single tent/unauthorized encampment): Counts only if reliable sources classify it as an Israeli outpost.
24h Volume: $200. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2035.