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Prediction market on manifold. inspired by the great (https://manifold.markets/embed/sixtynine/greatest-mathematician-of-all-time)Resolves on the date after the first ASI is presented and accepted. Until then, a healthy discussion is appreciated. Update 2025-07-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified their personal distinction between AI research and computer science, indicating that work considered primarily computer science may be viewed as 'distant from AI research' for the purposes of this market's resolution.
24h Volume: $18.381. Liquidity: $3,100. Resolves: 1/1/3000.