Will Level 5 self driving cars be available by (YEAR)?

Prediction market on manifold. At the beginning of each year level 5 self driving is not available the previous year will resolve to NO. If level 5 self driving is available year 2028. Year 2028 and all years after will resolve to YES. Level 5 self driving. Needs to be available in US and Europe for normal consumers. Should not cost much more than a normal expensive car. In 2024 this would be something like $200k. Level 5 self driving means: - The car is capable of performing all driving tasks under all conditions without any human intervention. - The car can handle all driving scenarios, including extreme weather conditions, complex urban environments, and any other unpredictable situations. It is expected to perform as well or better than a human driver. - Passengers in a Level 5 autonomous vehicle are not expected to take control of the vehicle at any point. There is no need for human monitoring. Needs to be available for private ownership, OR, robo-taxis are widely available, in both urban and rural areas. But these taxis should then be as good or better than normal drivers. Available in select cities does NOT count. Example: One should be able to get into their car in any parking spot in any city in US and be able to go to any other parking spot in any other city in US without touching the controls. In any weather a human could drive in, even during construction and/or other unforseen scenarios. Update 2025-03-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): European Availability Update: The technology is considered available in Europe if it is deployed in most European countries, even if a few countries outlaw it. In all regions, the system must be able to replace human drivers by operating as well or better than human drivers under all road conditions.

24h Volume: $40. Liquidity: $1,700. Resolves: 1/1/2101.