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Prediction market on manifold. resolves YES if trump formally announces a campaign for the 2028 election, whether or not it is legal at the time other republicans campaign trump as a party candidate he wins the 2028 election, even if he does not formally announce he is running resolves NO if trump announces he will not run for a 3rd term at the time of market close this market will resolve NO if legislation is introduced/passed that makes a 3rd term legally possible, but trump decides not to run by the end of the election
Liquidity: $2,000. Resolves: 1/1/2029.