Will testosterone for transgender HRT be available in the US on 2026-08-01?

Prediction market on manifold. Testosterone must be legal federally, legal in at least one state, and available with a level of inconvenience not too far above present. (It's a controlled substance and requires a mental health professional to approve.) YES if it requires lying to doctors a little bit (pretending to be binary, for instance). NO if there are surgical requirements or "real life experience" requirements or other actually difficult things to lie about, with "just about every" doctor you can find. NO if it's legal to obtain, but it's illegal to actually use, or doctors are too worried about getting sued to proscribe it, or another reason that it's not practically available. Also YES if it is very easy to synthesize at home and either legal to do so or very easy to stay out of trouble. This question is only regarding adults over 18. Because some of the criteria are subjective, I will not trade in this market.

24h Volume: $1,888.859. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 8/16/2026.