What will be the first year OpenAI makes a net profit?
Prediction market on manifold. This isn't about gross revenue, it's revenue minus all expenses. Resolves when official financial reporting is available, showing their revenue minus expenses was positive for OpenAI, in any year. Resolves that year to "Yes" and all other options to "No". We can add more years if they are still running but haven't made a profit yet. If they go out of business first, then we resolve to "They never have a profitable year".
24h Volume: $102. Liquidity: $1,400. Resolves: 7/12/2035.