Weights in largest open-weight AI model before July 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. Total parameters At market creation (2025-11-11), the largest open weight model is Kimi K2 by Moonshot, with 1T total parameters. This market will only consider models that are "pretty good", and will exclude exceedingly large but useless models. For example, someone initializing 100T weights at random and uploading the weights online would not count for the purpose of this market.

24h Volume: $500. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 6/30/2026.