Above-ground nuclear explosion by EOY 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. Majority of energy release from fission or fusion, not chemical. Nuclear detonation, not a reactor. In space counts. UTC time. See also: (https://manifold.markets/embed/EvanDaniel/will-an-aboveground-nuclear-test-ta-dPUQqQCtQL)

24h Volume: $200. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2027.