Will the Vatican State stop its diplomatic relationship with Taiwan and establish one with China before 2027?

Prediction market on manifold. The Holy-See is one of the 13 countries that officially recognise Taiwan as a country and mantain official diplomatic relationship. In the recent years, under China pressure, most of the countries that mantain diplomatic ties with Taiwan switched to People Republic of China. The remaining 13 are listed here. Will the Vatican - also the only country listed that is located in Europe - formally switch diplomatic relationship to People Republic of China and abandon Taiwan?

24h Volume: $102.804. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.