Will a new publicly reported cybersecurity incident affecting Antel, HG S.A., Tickantel, or TuID Digital be reported between May 18, 2026 and May 28, 2026?

Prediction market on metaculus. Antel is Uruguay's state-owned telecommunications company. Through its subsidiary HG S.A. it operates several public-facing systems including **Tickantel** (a ticketing platform) and **TuID Digital** (a national digital identity / e-government platform). In May 2026 Antel acknowledged that cyberattacks against it had multiplied roughly 8–10x versus prior years and that the company is currently an attractive target. Two notable incidents have already been publicly reported in May 2026: - **TuID Digital (≈ May 7, 2026):** The threat actor "LaPampaLeaks" claimed to have exfiltrated ~8 GB of internal data after exploiting an API key found on an Antel backend server. Antel acknowledged unauthorized access but disputed the scope. A related defacement of Uruguay's DINACIA (civil aviation) website was attributed by journalists to the same actor in collaboration with "BogotaLeaks" and "Uruguayo1337". - **Tickantel (reported May 15, 2026):** The threat actor "DeadPresidents" published ~1 GB of data from Tickantel's development servers (including FTL templates and hardcoded credentials), reportedly obtained via lateral movement from a prior compromise of HG S.A. Local threat-intel firm BCA LTD characterized this as a direct consequence of the HG breach. Several Latin-America-focused leak actors (LaPampaLeaks, DeadPresidents, BogotaLeaks, Uruguayo1337) appear actively engaged against Uruguayan state-linked systems, and remediation of the underlying credential exposure is ongoing. Prior coverage can be found at El Observador's Ciencia y Tecnología section: https://www.elobservador.com.uy/ciencia-y-tecnologia `{"format": "llm_question", "info": {"rating": {"quality": 3, "ambiguity": 3, "resolvability": 4, "passes": true}}}`

Resolves: 5/29/2026.