How many times will my friend and I die in Outward?

Prediction market on manifold. Current counts: Pat: 10 Friend: 1 (Total Deaths: 11) Wipes: 0 --- We both love an abusive, unforgiving game. And usually we're quite good at them. But we picked up Outward a couple months ago and we've been having our asses handed to us. Eventually we got stuck in a failure spiral early in our first run after picking skills and gear poorly suited to our individual playstyles, so we reset and have been doing MUCH better, but still dying plenty. Haven't left the starting region yet in either run, and we tend to be obsessive loot goblins who might progress slowly in the story. I have no idea how long the game normally is, so I've just pulled numbers out of my hat based on our first attempt which I guesstimate had ~40 deaths and 30 wipes. We're at about the same point now and if we counted from the beginning it'd be maybe a dozen or so deaths and only a handful of wipes. We play for a few hours about once a week, sometimes more sometimes less. Normal mode (not hardcore with 20% permadeath since it might otherwise stop the tally early). Only counting deaths and wipes going forward. A death is: when one of us dies but gets revived by the other. Can happen frequently, occasionally multiple times in a single big fight. A wipe is: when we both are dead at the same time and the game cuts out to a defeat scenario. 2 deaths don't necessarily equal a wipe, so I'm counting them separately. If we wipe, I'll only count +1 wipe and neither of the requisite deaths. Every death + revive before a wipe still counts, just not the final double-KO. This market resolves when either: we 'complete' our current run, we decide to give up (hah! you wish), or we stop playing this game for long enough that I don't think we'll go back to finish. Will extend as needed. I'll try to publicly update this market with a running tally from time to time and won't insider trade for at least a few hours after I do so, if at all.

24h Volume: $10. Liquidity: $1,100. Resolves: 7/19/2026.