How will presidential historians rank Biden relative to other past presidents?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolves according to the first C-SPAN Presidential Historian Survey where Biden is ranked (I think this will be the year after he leaves office) https://www.c-span.org/presidentsurvey2021/?page=overall If the Presidential Historian Survey is never released again, then resolves YES for Other and all other options resolve NO. The methodology in 2021 was: "a survey in which participants used a 1 ("not effective") to 10 ("very effective") scale to rate each president on 10 qualities of presidential leadership: Public Persuasion, Crisis Leadership, Economic Management, Moral Authority, International Relations, Administrative Skills, Relations with Congress, Vision/Setting an Agenda, Pursued Equal Justice for All and Performance Within the Context of the Times. Surveys are distributed to historians, professors and other professional observers of the presidency who are drawn from databases of C-SPAN programming, research in the field and suggestions from our academic advisers. Each cycle, we reach out to past participants and add new names to the list to maintain a well-rounded list of invited participants. This year, 142 completed the survey, up from 91 in 2017. Participants are guaranteed that their individual survey responses will remain confidential. No definitions are provided for the categories: participants are able to interpret them as they see fit to determine their rankings. Each of the 10 categories is given equal weighting in arriving at a president's total score. Survey responses are tabulated by averaging all responses in a given category for each president." In 2021, the ranking was 1. Abraham Lincoln George Washington Franklin D. Roosevelt Theodore Roosevelt Dwight D. Eisenhower Harry S. Truman Thomas Jefferson John F. Kennedy Ronald Reagan Barack Obama Lyndon B. Johnson James Monroe Woodrow Wilson William McKinley John Adams James Madison John Quincy Adams James K. Polk William J. Clinton Ulysses S. Grant George H. W. Bush Andrew Jackson William Howard Taft Calvin Coolidge Grover Cleveland Jimmy Carter James A. Garfield Gerald R. Ford George W. Bush Chester A. Arthur Richard M. Nixon Benjamin Harrison Rutherford B. Hayes Martin Van Buren Zachary Taylor Herbert Hoover Warren G. Harding Millard Fillmore John Tyler William Henry Harrison Donald J. Trump Franklin Pierce Andrew Johnson James Buchanan

24h Volume: $133.167. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 7/1/2026.