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Prediction market on manifold. Outbreak currently in DR Congo and Uganda. States resolve YES when their health authorities or WHO reports a local case and resolve NO when the outbreak is declared over by WHO / Africa CDC. People who are transferred with a suspected or confirmed infection for treatment to another state under medical supervision are excluded (e.g. western states repatriating their infected citizens does not resolve, a person travelling who is already infected but without being already suspected and is diagnosed in their destination does resolve) Cases confirmed to be from a different outbreak do not count. Some background: https://www.science.org/content/article/scientists-play-catch-startling-ebola-outbreak
24h Volume: $70. Liquidity: $1,200. Resolves: 7/30/2026.