In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
Prediction market on manifold. EG "make me a 120 minute Star Trek / Star Wars crossover". It should be more or less comparable to a big-budget studio film script, although it doesn't have to pass a full Turing Test as long as it's good enough for a director to use without modifications to make a movie. Video generation question: @/SamuelKnoche/in-early-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-lezeyhikb7 The intention of this question is to tease out what difficulties people expect for this question to resolve Yes: @/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener
24h Volume: $1,458.271. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/4/2028.