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Prediction market on metaculus. Ecological [trend analysis](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trend_analysis) is the process of analyzing environmental data to draw conclusions about whether environmental indicators are improving or deteriorating. In the United Kingdom, such work is performed and released by governmental bodies, such as the [Joint Nature Conservation Committee](https://jncc.gov.uk/our-work/assessing-indicators/) and the [Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs](https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/department-for-environment-food-rural-affairs/about), as well as academic institutions like the [UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology](https://www.ceh.ac.uk/our-science/case-studies/case-study-tracking-and-responding-environmental-change). Trend analysis depends on the collection of comprehensive environmental data. Such data may be collected [via satellite](https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/5fa2529b973e47ae38ab3557f2018ef4/), [gridded](https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/data/haduk-grid/haduk-grid), or based on [field surveys](https://naturalengland.blog.gov.uk/2024/04/03/england-ecosystem-survey-introducing-englands-largest-ever-field-survey/). However data collection is currently uneven, with [more data available](https://data.jncc.gov.uk/data/c3b082a9-7e9e-4e8e-ae1e-fd80e1bdbbab/JNCC-Report-646-FINAL-WEB.pdf) from southeast England and relatively little data available from north and west Britain. With the collection of robust data and advancements in AI, it may be easier to conduct meaningful ecological trend analysis throughout all of the UK.
Resolves: 12/31/2029.