[ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?

Prediction market on manifold. (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41173) Resolves according to Metaculus resolution. Metaculus high-level description: This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2027, an EU Regulation or EU Directive is adopted that (i) requires at least one social media platform or AI chatbot to use mandatory age verification for EU users, or (ii) in the case of a Directive, requires Member States to ensure such an obligation is imposed on those services. Update 2026-02-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that questions about resolution should be directed to the Metaculus question, as this market resolves according to Metaculus resolution.

24h Volume: $50. Liquidity: $5,100. Resolves: 12/31/2026.