Who will be caught insider trading in prediction markets?

Prediction market on manifold. A member of the listed organization must be penalized. The action must be a substantial action, including a fine, ban from a prediction market, termination, demotion, etc. A warning is not sufficient. If any other regulator such as the SEC or CFTC takes significant action, also resolves YES. If an exchange takes action, also resolves YES. The enforcement action must take place from market open to EOY 2026. The insider trading action can occur at any time before market close.

24h Volume: $135.441. Liquidity: $1,500. Resolves: 12/31/2026.