Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files. Update 2026-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will only consider days after market creation (not any day in 2026 including before creation).

24h Volume: $150. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.