Will the Republican win Texas's 2026 Senate race, conditional on D/R nominees?

Prediction market on manifold. If the nominees stated in an answer are not the final nominees, the answer N/As An answer resolves YES if the listed nominees are accurate and the Republican (Cornyn or Paxton) wins the election. It resolves NO if the listed nominees are accurate and the Democrat (Talarico or Crockett) wins the election. inb4 people end up trading on who they expect to be nominated

24h Volume: $19.704. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.