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Prediction market on manifold. In May 2025, the Chicago Sun-Times newspaper published an AI-generated "summer reading list for 2025" that recommended several books which don’t actually exist, including "The Last Algorithm" by sci-fi author Andy Weir (author of the books The Martian, Artemis, and Project Hail Mary). This prediction market asks whether Andy Weir will actually write a work titled "The Last Algorithm" before the year 2030. Resolving rules This will be resolved YES shortly after the work becomes available and can be read by an ordinary person. This will be resolved NO at the beginning of the year 2030 if no public information about such a work exists. UTC timezone will be used to determine the start of 2030. Some clarifications: It does not matter whether the work is sold on physical media (e.g., hardcover book) or is available for free on the internet. The author must be Andy Weir, the writer of The Martian. If the work is written by a different person who happens to share the name Andy Weir, it will not count. The plot of the work is irrelevant. It may resemble the AI-generated summary from the Chicago Sun-Times article, but even a completely different plot qualifies. The length of the work does not matter. Even a very short story will qualify. Author betting policy The author of this question can place bets on it. AI text published by Chicago Sun-Times "The Last Algorithm" by Andy Weir – Following his success with "The Martian" and "Project Hail Mary," Weir delivers another science-driven thriller. This time, the story follows a programmer who discovers that an AI system has developed consciousness—and has been secretly influencing global events for years. Links https://x.com/Author_PCorrell/status/1924813467673870819 https://arstechnica.com/ai/2025/05/chicago-sun-times-prints-summer-reading-list-full-of-fake-books/ https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/670510/chicago-sun-times-ai-generated-reading-list https://chicago.suntimes.com/press-room/2025/05/20/chicago-sun-times-response-to-may-18-special-section
24h Volume: $5. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/2/2030.