Will Venezuelans be better off at end of 2026, conditional on sanctions NOT being lifted?

Prediction market on manifold. Sanctions are considered "lifted" if ANY of the following occur before Dec 31, 2026: PDVSA is removed from the OFAC SDN list, or a general license allows broad US business with PDVSA Executive order formally terminates or suspends E.O. 13850 (oil sector) or E.O. 13884 (government property blocking) US Treasury/State announces Venezuela oil sanctions are "lifted," "ended," or "terminated" (not just "modified" or "waived") If sanctions are lifted, resolves N/A. If sanctions are NOT lifted, resolves to this market: (https://manifold.markets/embed/Gabrielle/will-venezuelans-be-better-off-at-t)Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Better off" is operationalized by the resolution of the linked market. If that market resolves YES, Venezuelans are considered better off.

24h Volume: $106.921. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.