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Prediction market on manifold. After Mike Pence refused to participate in Donald Trump's plan to overturn the official results of the 2020 election, Trump became furious at Pence and considered him a traitor. JD Vance was reportedly selected on the basis of loyalty to Trump, despite having harshly criticized him in the past. Resolves YES if Trump denounces Vance as disloyal by the end of 2029, and NO otherwise. (The resolution condition is solely based on Trump's own stated opinions.)
24h Volume: $5. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/29/2029.