Will there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031?

Prediction market on manifold. Inspired by: [tweet]Does not include compute solely in support of normal satellite activities like communication or imaging. Update 2025-11-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on what counts as "compute": Current satellite edge computing (e.g., Starlink's onboard processing for communications) does not count toward the 1GW threshold Only orbital data centers count - facilities where: The customer is indifferent about the data center's location (aside from price) The compute is not heavily using sensor data or other orbit-native data sources Computing solely in support of normal satellite activities (communication, imaging, etc.) does not count

24h Volume: $28.662. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/15/2032.