Is Eric Berger right about how the Starliner saga will play out?

Prediction market on manifold. Based on this post: [tweet]Separate markets for each of the three clauses, plus one for all three of them being true. Operationalizations: "Starliner returns uncrewed with minimal problems": Minimal problems is somewhat subjective, but I'll interpret it as meaning there's nothing big and glaring that's reported right away. "NASA pays Boeing to fly Starliner with cargo in 2025": Resolves when the mission flies, not when the contract is awarded. "with cargo" = no crew, more stuff in it than there was on the previous uncrewed demo. "Starliner-1": The next crewed Starliner flight, whether it uses the Starliner-1 designation or not. An uncrewed mission named Starliner-1 would be against the spirit of the prediction and would not count. "In the next month": September 9, 11:59 PM Eastern "In 2025", "In 2026": After January 1 12:00 AM and before December 31, 11:59 PM Eastern of the respective year

24h Volume: $250. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2027.