Will TSLA outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. Across the full year, measured from the last close of 2025 to the final close of 2026, will TSLA outperform the S&P 500 index? Starting prices: TSLA $449.72; SPX a.k.a. INX $6845.50

24h Volume: $50. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.