Which of xAI, Anthropic, and OpenAI will IPO first?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolution Criteria This market resolves to the company that is the first to be publicly traded. Qualifying Events The following events count as an IPO for the purpose of this market: Traditional IPO Direct Listing SPAC Merger Merging with another private company then IPOing together (e.g. xAI and SpaceX) Disqualifying Events Acquisition: If a company is acquired by an existing public company (e.g., if Microsoft fully acquires OpenAI or Tesla fully acquires xAI) If two or more companies list on the exact same date, the market will resolve to 50% (or equal split) for the winning options.

24h Volume: $9,474.7. Liquidity: $3,000. Resolves: 12/3/2030.