Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Prediction market on manifold. OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending. Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven. Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO. Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO. If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.

24h Volume: $162. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.