1GW AI training run before 2027?

Prediction market on manifold. In "Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead", Leopold Aschenbrenner predicts that the largest AI training clusters will consume 1GW of electricity in ~2026. This market resolves YES if a training run of a single AI model consumes 1GW+ of power sustained through most of the training run. This power cost includes overhead to run the data center, such as cooling. This is one of a series of markets on claims made in Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness report(s): @/Tossup/lasa-will-models-be-able-to-do-the @/Tossup/lasa-100b-ai-training-cluster-by-th @/Tossup/lasa-1t-ai-training-cluster-by-the @/Tossup/lasa-by-the-end-of-2027-will-anyone @/Tossup/lasa-by-the-end-of-2027-will-there @/Tossup/lasa-will-a-tech-company-buy-an-alu @/Tossup/lasa-manhattan-project-for-agi-befo @/Tossup/lasa-1gw-ai-training-run-before-202 @/Tossup/lasa-10gw-training-run-before-2029 @/Tossup/lasa-100gw-ai-training-run-before-2 Other markets about Leopold's predictions: @/ZviMowshowitz/will-we-develop-leopolds-dropin-rem

24h Volume: $26. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2027.