Epstein files prop bets (ADD YOURS)

Prediction market on manifold. Resolution Criteria Add your own! The House and Senate have passed a measure compelling the Department of Justice to release files regarding Jeffrey Epstein, with the House passing 427-1 and the Senate approving by unanimous consent. The measure will head to President Trump's desk, and he has said he would sign it. Each answer resolves YES if the specified event occurs, NO if it does not occur, or N/A at my discretion. Background Thousands of documents were released by the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee last week, including emails between Jeffrey Epstein and former Harvard President Larry Summers. Trump previously fought the proposal but said House Republicans should vote to release the files, a startling reversal. Trump threw his support behind the effort after it became clear he could not halt its momentum and risked suffering an embarrassing blow on the House floor. Considerations Ongoing investigations may prevent full disclosure of information victims have long sought. Even if the measure becomes law, Trump could still find ways to neuter its impact, as implementation would rely on Justice Department compliance, a department Trump has asserted significant control over. Update 2025-11-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market close date will be extended as needed to allow for resolution of answers that cannot be determined by the end of 2025. Update 2025-11-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer about redacted or missing files: The creator intends this to capture situations where the Trump administration claims files are fully released but others credibly suspect material redactions (e.g., "this blacked-out name on the client list is just procedural don't worry about it" but news sources question whether the redaction is material). This goes beyond procedurally allowed redactions specified in the legislation. Update 2025-11-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market close date has been extended to December 31, 2026 to allow for resolution of answers that cannot be determined by the end of 2025. Update 2025-11-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market close date has been extended to February 28, 2027 to accommodate resolution of answers (such as the Stacey Plaskett question) that extend beyond the previous close date of December 31, 2026.

24h Volume: $16.513. Liquidity: $2,600. Resolves: 2/28/2027.