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Prediction market on manifold. Resolution criteria This market resolves to "Yes" if Sam Altman is incarcerated in a correctional facility due to a criminal conviction by the resolution date. "Incarcerated" is defined as being held in a jail or prison following a sentence or remand. If he is not imprisoned, or if charges are dismissed, dropped, or result in a non-custodial sentence (such as probation or fines only), the market resolves to "No." Reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg, The New York Times) confirming the imprisonment will serve as the source of truth for resolution. Background Sam Altman is the CEO of OpenAI. This market tracks public information regarding his legal status. As of May 2026, there are no credible reports or public charges suggesting Altman is facing criminal prosecution or impending imprisonment.
24h Volume: $50. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/2/2030.