Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?
Prediction market on manifold. Ukraine inherited substantial nuclear expertise and infrastructure from the Soviet era, including nuclear reactors and scientific knowledge. Ukraine renounced nuclear weapons in 1994 under the Budapest Memorandum and dismantled its arsenal, but it retains civilian nuclear power capabilities and access to technical expertise. If credible evidence emerges after the election that Ukraine possesses nuclear weapons, this market will resolve accordingly. It will be resolved as N/A if the election remains undecided.
24h Volume: $45.529. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2029.