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Prediction market on manifold. Joe Biden and Donald Trump are the two oldest candidates to ever run for the US presidency. They have both passed the median life expectancy in the US (77.26 years). Both have publicly displayed signs of cognitive decline and both have already experienced declining health from the demands of the presidency. This market resolves based on the person's age when they expire.
24h Volume: $427.418. Liquidity: $1,125. Resolves: 1/1/2045.