When will a robot reliably pass "The Coffee Test"?

Prediction market on manifold. "The Coffee Test" is an alternative to Turing test proposed by Steve Wozniak. It goes as follows: A machine is required to enter an average American home and figure out how to make coffee: find the coffee machine, find the coffee, add water, find a mug, and brew the coffee by pushing the proper buttons. This has not yet been completed. The test has to be repeated several times under independent control. (I.e. self-published video by Boston Dynamics is not enough.) The success rate has to be at least 50% out of at least 3 attempts in different houses. The market will be resolved positively after a month has passed since the successful demonstration to give some time to uncover possible cheating. Related question with a different time scale: @/MatthewBarnett/will-a-robot-be-created-that-is-capI do not bet on my own questions.

24h Volume: $30. Liquidity: $2,490. Resolves: 2/2/2030.