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Prediction market on manifold. A Russia win means Russia takes at least 50% of Ukraine, puts crippling (at least 3x GDP) of war debt on the country, or verifiably establishes the state as a puppet. A Russia Partial win means Russia takes at least 3% of Ukraine. A Ukraine win means less than 3% of Ukraine is taken by Russia. Ukraine takes land means that Ukraine ends the war with at least 3% more land than it started with (such as a partial Crimea retake). Russia nukes Ukraine is self explanitory. The world ends means at least 50% of the earth's population dies from nuclear fallout.
24h Volume: $103.25. Liquidity: $1,480. Resolves: 4/21/2077.