Will the Collatz conjecture be resolved by the end of the decade (11:59, 31 December 2029)?

Prediction market on manifold. It's a problem a child could understand. Still, there have been countless mathematicians "wasting their careers" attempting to solve what is beyond our grasp -- and it fundamentally comes down to understanding how the multiplicative structure of the integers interacts with the additive. This will be resolved if a proof or disproof is in a journal of high esteem by the time the clock ticks by.

24h Volume: $60. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2030.