Will Germany withdraw its gold from US vaults?

Prediction market on manifold. Germany holds the world’s second-largest national gold reserves after the United States, with approximately $194B worth — 1,236 metric tons—currently stored at the Federal Reserve in New York. Several German economists have deemed it risky to store so much gold in the US, given the current geopolitical situation, and advise to repatriate the gold. This market resolves based on the percentage of Germany's gold that is repatriated to Germany during Trump's second term. The market resolves YES if 100% of the gold is repatriated, NO if 0% is repatriated, and to the specific percentage for any amount between 0-100%.

24h Volume: $50. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.