Will a model saturate AISI's "The Last Ones" before August 2026?
Prediction market on manifold. see: https://www.aisi.gov.uk/blog/how-fast-is-autonomous-ai-cyber-capability-advancing
[image]If a model's average steps completed in 100M tokens hits 32, before August 2026, this market resolves YES. Otherwise, resolves NO.
24h Volume: $241.3. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 7/31/2026.