In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?

Prediction market on manifold. Each month, Gallup publishes a poll asking Americans "what do you think is the most important problem facing the country today?" If Gallup no longer conducts this poll (or an extremely similar one) in 2028, this market will resolve to N/A. Otherwise, I will find the average (over the 12 months of 2028) of the displayed percentages for the category most specifically referencing abortion and the category most specifically referencing AI. For the current poll, I would consider the category "advancements of computers/technology" to be referencing AI. However, if there was an explicit "AI" option I would use that one instead. Update 2026-03-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If neither abortion nor AI has a clear category in the Gallup poll, the market resolves N/A. If only one of the two has a clear category, that one is used and the other is treated as having insufficient responses to appear, resolving based on that single category.

24h Volume: $25. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2029.