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Prediction market on manifold. This market tracks PGM 4E production at the facility level. Facility: Sibanye-Stillwater operations in South Africa Basket type: PGM 4E (contains platinum, palladium, rhodium, and other PGMs) Coverage period: Trailing 12 months (TTM) ending 2026-12-31 Settlement delay: 2 months (observation date = March 1, 2027) Baseline (2026): 760,000 ozt Data source: Official company production disclosures and quarterly reports Resolution Criteria Resolve YES iff: Latest Delayed (2m) Trailing (12m) result for sibanye_rustenburg_kroondal_pgm_4e_ttm_ozt as of March 1, 2027 is ≥ 760,000 ozt. If PGM 4E production ≥ 760,000 ozt, resolve YES. Otherwise NO.
24h Volume: $9. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 3/1/2027.